Custom Modeling and Forecasting

An important strength of the C₄SE is the experience and ability of its staff to build customized models for organizations.  These include models of the national, provincial, and sub-provincial economies, and models that help organizations to forecast their sales, costs, and other factors required as inputs to their planning process.  The C₄SE provides software to organizations for their in-house use of the models.

• We provide customized current and projected demographic and economic information on a bi-annual or annual basis to IKEA, St. Lawrence Cement and Macquarrie North America Ltd. (co-owners of 407 ETR).
• We carried out the official population projections for the City of Barrie in 2003, the City of Hamilton in 2002, the City of Ottawa in 2001 and the Greater Toronto Area in 2000.
• We developed a detailed projection system of economic and demographic trends throughout the Greater Golden Horseshoe for the Ontario Ministry of Transportation. The system provides projections for more than 2,500 traffic zones throughout the GGH over a three decade horizon. The projections serve as inputs to a detailed transportation model developed for the Ministry by the IBI Group and a number of associated transportation consultants (2006 and 2007).
• We are assisting Metropolitan Knowledge International (MKI) in their assessment for the Ontario Ministry of Public Infrastructure Renewal (MPIR) on the future needs for employment lands throughout the Greater Golden Horseshoe (2007).
• We worked with the Ministry of Tourism to prepare and present the outlook for tourism in Ontario (2006).
• We developed a Physician Demand and Supply forecasting model for the province of British Columbia (2006).
• We prepared an update of the economic outlook for Saskatchewan for a provincial utility company (2005).
• We developed a detailed Occupational Supply Model and ten-year forecast for the province of Alberta, with 139 occupations, six age cohorts, four levels of schooling, 11 major fields of study and by gender. The system also has an education sub-model and an aboriginal demographic model (2004 and 2005).
• We developed a model to determine the impact of tourism sector activity at either the provincial, census division, census metropolitan area or the travel region level of geography for the Ontario Ministry of Tourism (ongoing).